Regional Training Workshop on Monitoring and Forecasting Marine Heatwaves in the Mediterranean and Red Sea Using Satellite Data, In-Situ Observations, and High-Resolution Earth System Modelling
04 - 09
Summary
The course is designed to strengthen the capacity of IOCAFRICA Member States bordering the Mediterranean and Red Sea to monitor, detect, analyze, and forecast marine heatwaves using satellite datasets, in-situ observations, and high-resolution ocean–atmosphere models. Specifically, the course will enable the participants to:
- Enhance skills in accessing, processing, and interpreting satellite SST and anomaly datasets.
- Strengthen knowledge in in-situ data collection, quality control, and integration.
- Introduce advanced high-resolution Earth system modelling tools for regional MHW prediction.
- Provide hands-on training in machine learning and deep learning applications for anomaly detection and forecasting.
- Promote coordinated regional monitoring using IOC platforms such as GOOS-AFRICA, ODINAFRICA, and ODIS.
- Support Member States in applying MHW forecasts to fisheries management, ecosystem protection, HAB mitigation, and public-health decision-making.
Venue
National Institute of Oceanography and Fisheries (NIOF), Alexandria, Egypt
Needs and priority
The regional training addresses the escalating threat of marine heatwaves (MHWs) in the climate-sensitive Mediterranean and Red Sea basins. By integrating satellite remote sensing, in-situ observations, and advanced high-resolution Earth system modelling, the program aims to close critical technical gaps among IOCAFRICA Member States. Through seven specialized modules, participants will gain practical skills in near-real-time detection workflows, machine learning for anomaly forecasting, and the application of these scientific products to protect fisheries, aquaculture, and public health from extreme warming events.
This initiative directly supports the IOC Capacity Development Strategy (2023–2030) and the strategic priorities established during the IOCAFRICA-VIII session, which emphasize institutional strengthening and the development of a "critical mass" of trained specialists. The workshop serves as a catalyst for the regional "Science to Action" priority by facilitating the creation of a collaborative roadmap for a Marine Heatwave Early Warning Mechanism (MHW-EWM).
By fostering partnerships between oceanographers and policymakers, the program aligns with the UN Ocean Decade’s goal of reversing knowledge asymmetries and enhancing climate resilience across African coastal and island states.
Learning outcomes
Upon completion of the workshop, learners will be able to:
- Define and classify marine heatwaves using a standardized scientific framework that incorporates specific metrics for intensity, duration, and spatial extent.
- Execute near-real-time detection workflows using tools such as Python or MATLAB to identify MHW onset and classification according to internationally recognized methodologies.
- Process and visualize satellite Sea Surface Temperature (SST) datasets to generate anomaly maps that detect emerging warming events relative to climatological baselines.
- Train and implement machine learning models, specifically neural network architectures like LSTMs and CNNs, to forecast extreme warming events and evaluate their predictive skill against traditional models.
- Develop sectoral application strategies that utilize MHW forecasts to inform management decisions in fisheries, aquaculture adjustments, habitat protection, and public health risk mitigation.
Course content
Scientific Foundations and Regional Context
- MHW Identification: Training on the standardized scientific framework to define and classify marine heatwaves using metrics such as intensity, duration, and spatial extent.
- Basin Dynamics: Exploration of unique regional drivers in the Mediterranean and Red Sea, including stratification, restricted circulation, and high evaporation rates.
- Impact Analysis: Review of case studies (2021–2025) detailing ecological and socio-economic consequences, such as coral bleaching, mass fish mortality, and disruptions to coastal tourism
Observation and Detection Techniques
- Satellite Remote Sensing: Practical guidance on accessing and processing sea surface temperature (SST) datasets from major providers like NOAA, Copernicus Marine Service, and ESA.
- Anomaly Mapping: Activities focused on generating anomaly maps relative to climatological baselines to detect emerging warming events.
- Detection Workflows: Hands-on application of near-real-time detection and classification methodologies using open-source tools, Python, or MATLAB.
- In-Situ Data Integration: Protocols for quality control and calibration of data from buoys, Argo floats, and tide gauges, and blending these field measurements with satellite products to analyze subsurface thermal structures
Advanced Forecasting and Computational Tools
- Ocean–Atmosphere Modelling: Introduction to coupled models and high-resolution Earth system modelling (10 km ocean / 25 km atmosphere) to improve prediction of MHW onset.
- Regional Downscaling: Techniques to tailor global models for localized forecasting in sensitive coastal zones.
- Machine Learning (ML): Training ML models using historical SST time-series and introducing neural network architectures like LSTMs and CNNs for event prediction.
- Predictive Skill Assessment: Hands-on workflows to compare the accuracy of ML-based anomaly detection against traditional forecasting models
Sectoral Applications and Strategic Roadmap
- Science to Action: Applying forecasts to inform decision-making in fisheries management, aquaculture adjustments, and the protection of sensitive habitats like seagrass and coral reefs.
- Public Health Mitigation: Addressing the links between MHWs, Harmful Algal Blooms (HABs), and waterborne health hazards.
- Institutional Gap Analysis: Facilitated discussions to identify technical and monitoring gaps across IOC-Africa Member States.
- Regional Roadmap Development: Collaborative drafting of a strategic roadmap for a coordinated regional Marine Heatwave Early Warning Mechanism (MHW-EWM)
Target audience and prerequisites
Mid and top-career scientists from IOCAFRICA member states adjacent to the Mediterranean and Red Sea basins. Applications from other IOCAFRICA member states will be considered on a special basis, and subject to availability of slot.
Language of instruction: English
Instructors
Additional invited trainers from Portugal and NIOF (names to be confirmed)
Format & Duration
This course is face-to-face with synchrounous onsite continuous activities for 5 days, with a total of 37 hours.
Organizers
This course is organized by National Institute of Oceanography and Fisheries, the Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission (IOC) of UNESCO through the IOC Sub Commission for Africa and the Adjacent Island States (IOCAFRICA) in collaboration with the Decade Capacity Development Facility and the OceanTeacher Global Academy.
Assessment & Certificate
This course has theoretical and practical tests.
To receive a Certificate of Completion, for each part of the training course, participants shall:
- Fully attend to the in-person sessions
- Engage and complete every proposed training activity
- Successfully complete the tests
- Complete the mandatory pre- and post-assessment.
- Submit the required feedback form is mandatory.
Technology requirements/computer skills and pre-requisites
To follow this course, participants shall have:
- Access to a notebook computer/laptop, and should bring it to the course;
- Latest version of either Chrome, Edge, Firefox or Safari web browsers, with JavaScript and cookies enabled;
- Broadband internet access (minimum bandwidth of 0.5 Mbps (Receive and Send)
- Audio speakers or headphones
- Basic computer skills, such as finding resources through search engines and the ability to be self-directed in learning new technology skills (e.g. following a step-by-step tutorial, online video help, or access to support to learn necessary skills)
- Good knowledge in computer use. Data manipulation using Python, R or MATLAB desirable.
Application & Selection criteria
Application was managed by IOCAFRICA through their digital platforms, and was open from 19 May to 9 June 2026.
Participants were asked to submit a motivation letter, their resume and recommendation from their employer. This enabled us to assess the relevance and importance of the course to their routine work and institution / country. We also assessed the gender of the applicants, country they are domiciled in, and challenges they wish to address in the short and long term.
Approximately 26 seat were available for participation.
UNESCO is committed to promoting equal access principles. Registration from minority or underrepresented groups is strongly encouraged.
Costs
This course has no tuition fees.
Finantial support is available for the participants.
Contacts
For additional questions, please contact the course coordinators Prof. Suzan M. El-Gharabawy (suzymooo@yahoo.com) and John Ngatia (Jn.ndarathi@unesco.org ), or OTGA Secretariat (ioc.training@unesco.org) always using the name of the course as e-mail subject.
Cancellation policy
In the event of cancellation of the course by the OTGA or its affiliates, we will provide notification of cancellation at least 7 days prior to the course date. In the event of cancellation by the attendee, we should receive notification of cancellation at least 7 days prior to the course date.
Location:
Event Times (UTC-5):
Starts: 03 Oct 2026 17:00:00Ends: 08 Oct 2026 17:00:00
